π Powell Sparks Market Rally; Fed Pivot Fuels Risk-On Sentiment
β’ US Equities: Dow +1.89% to record close; S&P +1.52%; Nasdaq +1.88%; Russell 2000 +3.86% (biggest gain since April). Weekly: Dow +1.53%, S&P +0.27%, Nasdaq β0.58%, Russell +3.30%. Consumer Discretionary led; Staples lagged.
β’ Powell @ Jackson Hole: Announced end of βmakeup strategy,β return to flexible inflation targeting. Framed tariffs as short-term shocks but acknowledged price pressures.
β’ Fed Watch: Goolsbee says September meeting βlive.β Collins open to cut on tariff & labor risks. Markets price in 3 consecutive cuts starting September.
β’ Political Moves: SCOTUS clears Trump-era NIH grant cuts; CA Senate passes redistricting plan (+5 Dem seats possible); Rubio halts truck driver visas.
β’ Canada: June retail sales +1.5%; July est. +0.8%. Ottawa drops retaliatory tariffs on US goods.
β’ Commodities: Gold surged to $3,371 on dovish Fed bets; WTI +1.05% weekly to $63.66. US oil rigs fell to 538. EU gas +4% on Norwegian supply risks. Copper demand led by China; Swiss gold exports to US at 51 tons (July high).
β’ Europe: Stocks higher (DAX +0.29%, CAC +0.40%, FTSE 100 +0.13%). Weekly: FTSE +2%, MIB +1.54%. Germany Q2 GDP revised β0.3% QoQ; Eurozone wages +3.95% y/y.
β’ Asia: Japan core CPI 3.1% y/y. China expands Pakistan ties; Nvidia pauses H20 chip production under US rules, launches Rubin AI arch. SCO Summit confirmed for Tianjin.
β’ Crypto: Powell boost drove BTC >$116K, ETH +12%, SOL +8%, XRP +5%. Crypto mcap >$4T. Trump crypto push: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, SEC task force, Bitcoin ETF filing, TRUMP token launch. BTC $112,736 near $111,920 support; ETH $4,100 support; XRP risks $2.75 break. OKB rally extends, ZEC wedge breakout, MORPHO golden cross, FLOW lagging despite Disney+ tie-up. Meme coins face sell pressure.